CNN: OBAMA is WINNING in most states

[natina]

CNN: OBAMA is WINNING in most states
http://www.cnn.com/interactive/2012/...t=hp_inthenews

[natina]

CNN Electoral Map
http://www.cnn.com/election/2012/eca...#?battleground

[fred41]

Not literally he isn't..not according to the map at this given time...he's ahead in electoral votes...but not winning the states by number...just count em.

[buttslinger]

let's see what Vegas has to say.......

[JPeterson]

If I wanna know the odds for Obama or Romney I would look at Intrades number. Vegas is about setting the lines to turn profit the way Intrade is set up the people running it are turning a profit however the line goes.

[Prospero]

I didn't understand that last post.

But for those still wavering here is an impressive list of the president's achievements.


http://whatthefuckhasobamadonesofar.com/

[buttslinger]

If I wanna know the odds for Obama or Romney I would look at Intrades number. Vegas is about setting the lines to turn profit the way Intrade is set up the people running it are turning a profit however the line goes.

Intrades has Obama at 67%. If you really want to know where the smart money is betting, you'd need to call YOUR GUY on Wall St. hush hush though.

Obama is no fool, he's had a ground game in Ohio since five minutes after he was elected. Actually, since a few months before he was elected!!
Gambling always goes better when you have an ACE up your sleeve, he he.

[martin48]

Intrades has Obama at 67%. If you really want to know where the smart money is betting, you'd need to call YOUR GUY on Wall St. hush hush though.

Obama is no fool, he's had a ground game in Ohio since five minutes after he was elected. Actually, since a few months before he was elected!!
Gambling always goes better when you have an ACE up your sleeve, he he.

Looking at betting odds is not a trusted way to measure people's views on who will win. I might know that if Romney wins then share prices will dip (I know he might be big money's friend but a new leader will always cause uncertainty in the market) so I bet on him winning to cover some of my losses. The big money in such betting is always about hedging losses and not about disclosing who you want to win.

Clear?

[JPeterson]

I didn't understand that last post.

But for those still wavering here is an impressive list of the president's achievements.


http://whatthefuckhasobamadonesofar.com/

Basically if Obama is at 90 % to win on Itrade or 10% to win on Intrade the people who run the sight make the same profit since they they just take a 5 percent cut on peoples shares no matter which way they bet.

Vegas has to set the lines in a way that people are betting on both sides of the action.

[broncofan]

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/

Nate Silver, the guy who writes this blog is a statistician and his predictions were considered the most accurate in the last election cycle. His prediction shifts as new polls come in and he tries to integrate them into the model he's created. I'm not saying he's always right but he does have a math background as has taken a serious approach to evaluating the available polling data. BTW, he has obama having a 73% chance of winning at this point. Since I've been following this blog the numbers have shifted between a high in the low 80's to a low in the low 60's for Obama.