Results 281 to 290 of 610
Thread: Coronavirus
-
04-25-2020 #281
- Join Date
- Feb 2008
- Posts
- 4,426
Re: Coronavirus
You can tell just by listening to him that he wasn't sarcastic. But if you hadn't posted this article I would have assumed he just talked to a scientist about sanitizing items and got confused. I didn't know until now someone pitched this to him as a cure. People don't want to believe the person running this country is that stupid. This is a level of stupidity that exceeds anything most people have seen first hand, except that rare person that everyone whispers about "hey that guy is a fucking moron. He said Obama founded ISIS."
It's also worth noting that unless there's some miracle we're not going to have under 60,000 people die in this first wave. We're at 52,000 deaths and not far from peak. What we're finding out and should have known is that it's steep on the ascent and flat on the far side of the peak.
Testing in the U.S. is up to 200,000 a day, which is a 33% increase and in the right direction if it is not just a blip.
3 out of 3 members liked this post.
-
04-25-2020 #282
- Join Date
- May 2018
- Posts
- 8
Re: Coronavirus
Instead of bleach - dry clean
-
04-25-2020 #283
Re: Coronavirus
Donald Trump wasn't being sarcastic when he came up with that crackpot idea,just another of him backpedaling after getting caught saying stupid shit on camera,he also the same clueless buffoon who suggested using nuclear bombs to stop hurricanes and said that windmills causes cancer.
3 out of 4 members liked this post.
-
04-26-2020 #284
- Join Date
- Jan 2018
- Location
- Los Angeles
- Posts
- 58
-
04-26-2020 #285
- Join Date
- Apr 2010
- Posts
- 3,420
Re: Coronavirus
That 60,000 deaths prediction was for early August as well, so that's likely to be well exceeded. That's ironic, given that commentators in certain quarters were dismissing the modelling as alarmist after they revised earlier predictions down.
https://thehill.com/policy/healthcar...n-us-by-august
3 out of 3 members liked this post.
-
04-26-2020 #286
- Join Date
- Apr 2010
- Posts
- 3,420
Re: Coronavirus
I should add that there are good reasons to think the official death count may be a significant underestimate due to deaths being incorrectly attributed to other causes, especially when people die outside of a hospital.
https://edition.cnn.com/2020/04/06/h...ner/index.html
https://www.thenation.com/article/po...s-death-count/
4 out of 4 members liked this post.
-
04-26-2020 #287
- Join Date
- Feb 2008
- Posts
- 4,426
Re: Coronavirus
I was looking at the curves for the IHME models and they look symmetrical. It has been pretty accurate on the way up, but then assumes a quick descent for deaths that fall to zero by some time in Mid-May. At that point we will have supposedly gone from mitigation to containment and can open up. Italy and other countries that had very large outbreaks (we're not counting China) have tended to have lots more difficulty bringing infections down than flattening and there are a lot of common sense reasons why.
We don't at this point remove people from their households when they've been diagnosed. In many of the high profile cases I've seen, even attempts to separate family members within a home have been unsuccessful (Chris Cuomo, Idris Elba). Beyond that I'm not sure what we can do at peak here other than distancing. It is good that tests appear to be ramping up again (we had 300,000 yesterday, which hopefully marks a breakthrough). Though it wasn't sufficient to prevent an outbreak, in the long run testing will be important at every stage and one path towards normalization of life.
I posted this before but for those who want to see their countries projections, or their state, here's the website. You can change locations.
https://covid19.healthdata.org/united-states-of-america
2 out of 2 members liked this post.
-
04-26-2020 #288
Re: Coronavirus
How the Chinese Authorities and the World Health Organization Handled the Coronavirus:
https://www.counterpunch.org/2020/04...e-coronavirus/
-
04-27-2020 #289
- Join Date
- Apr 2010
- Posts
- 3,420
Re: Coronavirus
I agree that those projections look overoptimistic. There's no way that herd immunity will be anywhere near achieved over the next month, so they must assume that the virus can be eradicated. No country has been able to achieve that yet, even those that were much more successful in containing the virus. My understanding is that the projections are essentially driven by assumptions on R0, and if it's less than 1 then cases must decline steadily to zero. That seems to assume a world in which nothing goes wrong and people adhere to the guidelines.
-
04-27-2020 #290
- Join Date
- Apr 2010
- Posts
- 3,420
Re: Coronavirus
3 out of 3 members liked this post.