Results 151 to 160 of 564
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01-23-2024 #151
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Re: 2024 USA Election: Wishin' and Hopin'
Wrong. The polls overall were reasonably accurate, but most pundits chose to ignore them because of historical experience.
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features...ling-accuracy/
Over-extrapolating from single data points is not usually a good idea.
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01-23-2024 #152
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Re: 2024 USA Election: Wishin' and Hopin'
According to this poll a generic Democrat could do 12% points better than Biden.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/polit...n-alternative/
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01-23-2024 #153
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01-23-2024 #154
Re: 2024 USA Election: Wishin' and Hopin'
"We can't seem to cure them of the idea that our everyday life is only an illusion, behind which lies the reality of dreams."--Old Missionary, Fitzcarraldo
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01-23-2024 #155
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Re: 2024 USA Election: Wishin' and Hopin'
You are sounding like Mr Fanti - repeating the mantra "but nobody's stepped forward" and ignoring the counter-argument that they would if Biden stepped aside. Are you seriously saying that if Biden had a heart attack tomorrow there would be no viable alternative?
Here's some possibilities that were mentioned previously.
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01-23-2024 #156
Re: 2024 USA Election: Wishin' and Hopin'
I've repeated the question because I haven't seen an answer.
If it's so obvious any other candidate would do better, why is it so hard to identify one? Of course people would choose an imaginary ideal candidate over reality.
If Biden had a heart attack tomorrow, I'm not sure there would be a viable alternative, because no one has stepped forward.
Newsome has said repeatedly that he supports Biden and is not interested in running at this time. He's one of very few Democrats who has actually supported Biden unequivocally. And the simple fact that he is from California would alienate lots of swing voters.
I've heard of no presidential aspirations from Whitmer. I've never even heard of Murphy.
1 out of 1 members liked this post."We can't seem to cure them of the idea that our everyday life is only an illusion, behind which lies the reality of dreams."--Old Missionary, Fitzcarraldo
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01-23-2024 #157
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Re: 2024 USA Election: Wishin' and Hopin'
I think I was. But my post was about the contest between Biden and Trump. Of course I would prefer a generational change in the US, but it is not my country and it is up to the Americans to get a grip. It matters to the rest of us for all the usual international political and economic reasons, plus, though it is not my favourite country -Canada in that region wins all the contests- I don't want to see the US decline under a lunatic like Trump or his supporters, because I fear a degree of social conflict in the US becoming more common and violent.
A deeper view concerns the fate of Liberal Democracy, a set of political views and arrangements that has created a political space for people that in so many other systems are closed off, banned, or become arenas of violence and hate. It is not perfect, and it has of course evolved since the days of Hobbes and Locke, but it is when compared to the alternatives that one sees the importance of having both stable government based on the rule of law, and civil society free to act without the interference of the State.
In these fraught times, and as a riposte to morons like Trump, but also New Wave Fascists like the late Roger Scruton (an Orban fan) I link the lecture Quentin Skinner gave in Stanford which offers an explanation of 'our' political heritage and why it matters so much. The lecture itself is just over an hour, and is typical of the kind of clear presentation Skinner is famous for, being one of four outstanding political philosopher from the UK (followed by Alan Ryan, John Gray and John Dunn).
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01-24-2024 #158
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01-24-2024 #159
Re: 2024 USA Election: Wishin' and Hopin'
"We can't seem to cure them of the idea that our everyday life is only an illusion, behind which lies the reality of dreams."--Old Missionary, Fitzcarraldo
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01-24-2024 #160
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Re: 2024 USA Election: Wishin' and Hopin'
This sums up the problem with Trump voters: a man who not only used the Office of President to enrich himself and his family through more visits to his own golf courses than any other President in history, and the 'Abraham Accords' which really were just Jared Kushner's business deal; and the mere idea he is out there for the 'people' when he has nothing but contempt for the American people and their political system.
If she can't see what is right in front of her, if she is prepared to simply ignore the facts, how can one persuade her or people like her to vote for a better person? The only consolation may be that she remains in a minority of Americans, but a minority that can affect election outcomes in swing states. Depressing.
"Tina Lorenz, who said she had supported Donald Trump since 2016, was among those who voted for the former president on Tuesday.“He is representing the American people. He is not out for himself. He’s not out for political gain. He’s not out for financial reasons. He doesn’t need money, he doesn’t need fame and fortune. He already has all of that,” Lorenz, 63, said.
“He is out there for the average person. And that’s what’s happening, we’ve become so polarized, that there’s nobody out there for just regular people.”"
Trump takes aim at Haley in combative New Hampshire primary victory speech | Donald Trump | The Guardian
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